Inaworldwhereweareconstantlybeingaskedtomakedecisionsbasedonincompleteinformation,facilitywithbasicprobabilityisanessentialskill.Thisbookprovidesasolidfoundationinbasicprobabilitytheorydesignedforintellectuallycuriousreadersandthosenewtothesubject.Throughitsconversationaltoneandcarefulpacingofmathematicaldevelopment,thebookbalancesacharmingstylewithinformativediscussion.Thistextwillimmersethereaderinamathematicalviewoftheworld,givingthemaglimpseintowhatattractsmathematicianstothesubjectinthefirstplace.Ratherthansimplywritingoutandmemorizingformulas,thereaderwillcomeoutwithanunderstandingofwhatthoseformulasmean,andhowandwhentousethem.Readerswillalsoencountersettingswhereprobabilisticreasoningdoesnotapplyorwhereintuitioncanbemisleading.Thisbookestablishessimpleprinciplesofcountingcollectionsandsequencesofalternatives,andelaboratesonthesetechniquestosolverealworldproblemsbothinsideandoutsidethecasino.PairthisbookwiththeHarvardXonlinecourseforgreatvideosandinteractivelearning:https://harvardx.link/fat-chance
